CG
Canopy Growth Corp (CGC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Consolidated net revenue was CAD $74.761MM, down 5% year-over-year, while Adjusted EBITDA loss improved 61% to CAD $(3.469)MM; free cash flow outflow improved 17% to CAD $(28.181)MM .
- Record Canada medical cannabis net revenue of CAD $19.6MM (+16% YoY) and Storz & Bickel revenue of CAD $22.0MM (+19% YoY) were key growth drivers; adult-use declined 10% YoY but rose 15% sequentially on Claybourne and Wana contributions .
- Gross margin was 32%, down 400 bps YoY due to initial Claybourne launch costs and higher indirect costs at Storz & Bickel; total debt fell to CAD $442MM at December 31, 2024 from CAD $554MM at September 30, 2024, aided by an early term loan prepayment .
- Management reiterated that achieving positive consolidated Adjusted EBITDA is “firmly in sight” in coming quarters; Q4 setup includes solid S&B with tough comps, international comps impacted by removal of ~CAD $1.7MM U.S. CBD sales, and ~$2.1MM headwind from divestitures plus U.S. CBD .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record Canada medical cannabis revenue (+16% YoY), with momentum from insured patients and expanded product assortment; CFO: “Canada medical continued its momentum, marking another record revenue quarter” .
- Storz & Bickel delivered CAD $22MM (+19% YoY) on strong holiday season, robust DTC online sales, Venty, and Germany growth .
- Claybourne infused pre-rolls successfully launched in November; ascended to #3 market share in infused pre-rolls in BC and Ontario after six weeks; CEO: “focused on achieving sustainable profitability” while highlighting Claybourne’s early success .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin contracted 400 bps YoY to 32%, driven by higher initial Claybourne costs and increased indirect costs at Storz & Bickel, partially offset by higher-margin medical mix .
- Canada adult-use net revenue fell 10% YoY (though +15% QoQ), reflecting prior Wana supply disruptions and competitive pressure; sequential improvement driven by Claybourne, Wana return, and bulk flower sales .
- Net loss from continuing operations was CAD $(121.896)MM with “Other income (expense), net” at CAD $(97.758)MM; cash interest remained a sizable outflow (CAD $17MM in Q3 vs CAD $21MM last year) .
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown (CAD $MM):
KPIs – Segment gross margin (%) by period:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “As I step into my role as Chief Executive Officer, I am focused on achieving sustainable profitability while maximizing our ability to create value in the key markets and segments we serve.”
- CFO: “The third quarter marked our best Adjusted EBITDA to date… balance sheet actions taken during the quarter further strengthen our financial position…” .
- CFO on Canada gross margin: “Decline… primarily attributable to higher initial cost to produce Claybourne; expect cash gross margins to return to at least mid- to high 30% targeted range…” .
- CFO on path to profitability: “Achieving positive adjusted EBITDA at the consolidated level is firmly in sight in the coming quarters.” .
- CEO on Claybourne: “Claybourne has risen to become the #3 infused pre-roll in British Columbia and Ontario in less than 6 weeks.” .
Q&A Highlights
- International strategy: Management emphasized an asset-light model leveraging GMP-certified Canadian supply and EU partners; Europe accounted for ~60% of international segment with demand exceeding supply in Poland .
- New CEO philosophy: Early in role, focusing on validating strategy and resource allocation; impressed with talent, processes, supply chain; more detail planned for Q4 call .
- Cash flow and ATM cadence: Expect further cash flow improvement in FY2026; reduced cash interest after term loan paydown; modest capex; ATM provides flexibility for growth initiatives .
- Constellation Brands: Now more of a passive investor via exchangeable shares; ongoing exchange of best practices but not operational involvement; distribution leverage not central near-term .
- Germany distribution: Leveraging distribution partners and improved flower quality/THC; no major step-change in investments expected given current partnerships and supply .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates for revenue/EPS/EBITDA for the latest reported quarter and next quarter were unavailable at time of request due to SPGI daily request limit exceeded. As a result, explicit beat/miss vs Wall Street consensus cannot be shown. Values would normally be retrieved from S&P Global; consensus comparisons are omitted due to unavailability at this time.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Medical cannabis and Storz & Bickel are the core growth engines; record Canada medical revenue (+16% YoY) and S&B (+19% YoY) underpin margin profile despite launch costs .
- Adult-use momentum improving with Claybourne; sequential +15% adult-use and #3 market share in infused pre-rolls in BC/ON suggests share gains; watch cost curve normalization to restore mid/high-30s cash GM .
- Balance sheet risk moderating: debt reduced to CAD $442MM; option to extend maturity to Sep 2027 with additional US$100MM prepayment by Mar 31, 2025; cash interest trending down (CAD $17MM in Q3) .
- Europe is a clear bright spot: Tweed brand entry in Germany and outsized Poland growth support sustained international GM strength (41% in Q3); capacity/supply partnerships mitigate capital intensity .
- Near-term setup: Q4 yoy growth for S&B likely challenged on tough comps; international comps exclude prior ~CAD $1.7MM U.S. CBD; monitor adult-use sell-through and Claybourne rollout .
- Profitability trajectory: Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to CAD $(3.469)MM; management sees positive consolidated Adjusted EBITDA “firmly in sight” in coming quarters, contingent on continued mix improvement and cost discipline .
- Strategic optionality in U.S.: Canopy USA integration (Wana, Jetty, Acreage) progressing and leadership in place; synergy capture is an important medium-term upside lever as regulatory landscape evolves .